Calibration of Predictive Risk Models: A Guide for Clinicians
Introduction: Understanding Calibration Challenges Consider a thermometer that perfectly identifies when one temperature is higher or lower than another, but consistently reads 5 degrees too high. This thermometer has good discrimination (it correctly ranks temperatures), but poor calibration (its absolute values are inaccurate). The same problem occurs with clinical risk models such as EuroSCORE: they … Read more